Kipper Central’s News Editor Returns With His Thoughts on Brexit
It has been over a year since other work commitments (and quite a long illness) forced me to temporarily leave my role as News Editor at this site. A lot has happened since then. Henry Bolton has been and gone, new UKIP spin-off parties have appeared with varying levels of success, and Gerard has come in to steady the ship and perhaps slightly alter its direction. But one thing has always been there – or rather it hasn’t – and that thing is Brexit.
The language we use to describe politics is often hyped up and inappropriate. We call things a ‘tragedy’ when we only really mean a ‘disappointment’, we say we have been ‘betrayed’ when we really mean ‘let down’ and we talk about ‘stabbing people in the front’ or ‘chopping them in bits in my freezer’ when all we really mean is that we want to see them gone, politically. However, there is only one word that can realistically and genuinely describe what has taken place in Westminster this week – and that word is BETRAYAL. The withdrawal agreement being presented to parliament, and by extension to the British public, is the sort of negotiated settlement that makes Arthur Scargill look like a master tactician in comparison with what he came out with at the end of the miners strike of the 1980’s.
I hate being a member of the European Union with a passion, but I would rather remain in it than accept this deal which, I suspect, was the whole point all along. A negotiation that was pre-destined to end in supposedly ‘heroic’ failure with the PM telling us that she had got everything that could reasonably have been achieved, that she had done her very best, and that it was a case of take it or leave it. She did, of course, expect us to leave it but has to persist with the pretence of trying to force it through parliament, knowing full well that the numbers are not there and never possibly could have been with what she has bought back. We will have to watch the charade of the EU backing the deal with a ‘heavy heart’, telling us how many ‘concessions’ they have had to make to the UK, and remonstrating that there can be no more negotiation if it fails to pass in the House of Commons. After the bill falls, May will tell the house that the only option now is for ‘No Deal’ unless some other solution can be found. She knows that even the most particularly clueless members of her party are not stupid enough to vote for another General Election, and so the inevitable outcome of all of this is that momentum will build for a ‘ratification vote’ from the public as a way to get us out of the mess. MP’s, most of them by now in a blind panic about the prospects of exiting without a deal, will reluctantly agree once the prospect of a fresh election has receeded. Even Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell, who absolutely will not want this outcome, will be powerless to resist the tidal wave of pressure that will come from the vast majority of the parliamentary party, aided and abetted by the rest of the opposition (sans the DUP) and plenty of extra bodies on the government side.
You may think that if I am returning to paint such a bleak picture then perhaps it is better that I should have stayed away a bit longer (!) but I am calling the reality of the situation as I see it and how, to be honest, I have expected things to pan out ever since the referendum ended with Theresa May in charge. Despite ‘Token Brexiteers’ having been involved in the process from time to time, it was obvious from Day One that the clean Brexit needed to ensure our future prosperity and independence was never, ever going to happen under this Prime Minister.
The only surprise is that, after two years of ‘noise’ the public are only just starting to realise that UKIP, Nigel Farage, Arron Banks, Leave Means Leave, Gerard Batten and countless others were right all along. Brexit never has meant Brexit to Theresa May – and she certainly never was going to ‘make a success of it’. Yes, there are still things that COULD save it – but they are not going to happen either. The Tories COULD send in their 48 letters, vote May out in the confidence vote, and then present Jacob Rees-Mogg along with a remainer candidate to a ballot of Conservative party members. In that scenario there would only be one winner regardless of who the second candidate was, and Brexit might yet be saved. However, only one of those three possibles is likely, in my opinion, to happen. I think that we might stagger along to the 48 letters being sent in by early next week but I think that the PM will then hang on in the confidence vote and, in the unlikely event that she didn’t, there is little or no chance that Rees-Mogg will emerge as a candidate. We would probably end up with something like either Gove or Javid versus Rudd, and whichever one got over the line would not make a bit of difference in the wider scheme of things.
I am returning because for all its faults, and there are many, UKIP remains the best vehicle currently available to UK citizens for delivering the Brexit that they voted for. Indeed, it is pretty much the only show in town with a realistic chance of shaping the outcome. The ‘sleeping giant’ that the party still is stirred today to quickly overtake the Lib Dems back into third place in the latest opinion poll and it would be a very complacent political commentator indeed that would write the party off. Indeed, if Gerard continues to develop the party into a sort of Tommy Robinson style street movement that could become a ‘Momentum’ of the centre right (anyone that describes Robinson as ‘Far Right’ has clearly never read a single word he has ever written) then we could see a subsequent General Election campaign that could really scare the pants off of all the establishment parties and finally deliver something approaching a peoples parliament. However, for that to happen UKIP would have to start organising with a discipline that has never been there even in the glory days, and for the party to show a unity of purpose that has rarely been on display except possibly in the Euros of 2014. If Gerard can continue to rally the troops in that direction, and the social media wizzards of Akkad, Dunkula and Joseph can work their magic with the younger audience, then we could approach a situation where ‘all bets are off’ and reach the heights that even Nigel never quite managed to achieve.
It is because of that potential, even though I still doubt it will happen, that I have been tempted back to re-enter the fray. I hope very much that the party can prove me wrong.
Westmonster Dave is the News Editor of Kipper Central.
Support Kipper Central
Kipper Central is here to spread the real news with the British and global public, without political correctness and without lies.
However, we are an extremely small team each putting in several hours a day, despite none of us having full-time jobs.
We, therefore, rely on the kind support of our readers to keep reporting on the stories that nobody else will and to keep promoting what is truly happening in Britain and across the world.